01605nam a2200229Ia 4500 CTU_166733 210402s9999 xx 000 0 und d 92.39 519.542 H861 Howie, David Interpreting probability : Controversies and developments in the early twentieth century David Howie Cambridge Cambridge University Press 2002 This book is a study of the concept of probability as it has been used and applied across a number of scientific disciplines from genetics to geophysics. Probability has a dual aspect: sometimes it is a numerical ratio; sometimes, in the Bayesian interpretation, a degree of belief. David Howie examines probabilistic theories of scientific knowledge, and asks how, despite being adopted by many scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through a close examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations of probability is not forced by pure logic, or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved, and their views of the correct form of scientific inquiry. Probabilities,Bayesian statistical decision theory Xác suất,Lý thuyết thống kê Trọng Hiếu Trung tâm Học liệu Trường Đại học Cần Thơ