Estimating Mortality Related to O3 and PM2. 5 under Changing Climate and Emission in Continental Southeast Asia

Air pollution causes adverse effects not only on the environment but also on human health. This study evaluated the excess mortalities in continental Southeast Asia that are related to future O3 and PM2.5 ambient concentration changes attributed to future climate change and emission change. The Envi...

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Những tác giả chính:	Nguyễn, Trần Hương Giang, Nguyen, Thuan Thi Thanh; Shimadera, Hikari; Uranishi, Katsushige; Matsuo, Tomohito; Kondo, Akira;
Định dạng:	Research article
Ngôn ngữ:	English
Được phát hành:	2023
Những chủ đề:	Fine particulate matter, Ozone, BenMAP-CE, Mortality
Truy cập trực tuyến:	https://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/handle/123456789/2037 https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.220105 https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.220105
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spelling	oai:scholar.dlu.edu.vn:123456789-20372023-12-13T04:30:05Z Estimating Mortality Related to O3 and PM2. 5 under Changing Climate and Emission in Continental Southeast Asia Nguyễn, Trần Hương Giang Nguyen, Thuan Thi Thanh; Shimadera, Hikari; Uranishi, Katsushige; Matsuo, Tomohito; Kondo, Akira; Fine particulate matter, Ozone, BenMAP-CE, Mortality Air pollution causes adverse effects not only on the environment but also on human health. This study evaluated the excess mortalities in continental Southeast Asia that are related to future O3 and PM2.5 ambient concentration changes attributed to future climate change and emission change. The Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program - Community Edition (BenMAP-CE) was applied as a health impact assessment tool. In BenMAP-CE simulations, baseline scenarios presenting for the present year (2014) were compared against the control scenarios presenting for the future year (2050). The air pollutant concentrations for the simulations were collected from modeled data. The future population data and baseline incidence rates were as same as the 2014 levels. In four calculating countries namely Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, and Vietnam, on average, impacted by climate change alone, the avoided mortalities of –1164 and –3358 under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 scenario and the additional mortalities of +758 and +2562 under RCP8.5 scenario were calculated for O3 and PM2.5, respectively. Future emission change alone under Evaluating the Climate and Air Quality Impacts of Short-Lived Pollutants current legislation (ECLIPSE CLE) scenario induces +7113 and +11072 additional O3 and PM2.5 related mortalities, respectively. Combined change in climate and emission produces additional O3 and PM2.5 related mortalities of +6067 and +7830 under RCP4.5 and ECLIPSE CLE combined scenario and +8763 and +14580 under RCP8.5 and ECLIPSE CLE combined scenario, respectively. The results of this study provided meaningful information for understanding the public health attributed to air pollution in the region. Khoa Hóa học và Môi trường 6 Nguyễn Trần Hương Giang Danh mục tạp chí quốc tế có uy tín trong lĩnh vực KHTN-KT do Quỹ NAFOSTED công bố/238/7 2023-04-24T08:16:20Z 2023-04-24T08:16:20Z 2022 Research article Bài báo đăng trên tạp chí thuộc SCOPUS, bao gồm book chapter https://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/handle/123456789/2037 https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.220105 https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.220105 en Aerosol and Air Quality Research
institution	Thư viện Trường Đại học Đà Lạt
collection	Thư viện số
language	English
topic	Fine particulate matter, Ozone, BenMAP-CE, Mortality
spellingShingle	Fine particulate matter, Ozone, BenMAP-CE, Mortality Nguyễn, Trần Hương Giang Nguyen, Thuan Thi Thanh; Shimadera, Hikari; Uranishi, Katsushige; Matsuo, Tomohito; Kondo, Akira; Estimating Mortality Related to O3 and PM2. 5 under Changing Climate and Emission in Continental Southeast Asia
description	Air pollution causes adverse effects not only on the environment but also on human health. This study evaluated the excess mortalities in continental Southeast Asia that are related to future O3 and PM2.5 ambient concentration changes attributed to future climate change and emission change. The Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program - Community Edition (BenMAP-CE) was applied as a health impact assessment tool. In BenMAP-CE simulations, baseline scenarios presenting for the present year (2014) were compared against the control scenarios presenting for the future year (2050). The air pollutant concentrations for the simulations were collected from modeled data. The future population data and baseline incidence rates were as same as the 2014 levels. In four calculating countries namely Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, and Vietnam, on average, impacted by climate change alone, the avoided mortalities of –1164 and –3358 under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 scenario and the additional mortalities of +758 and +2562 under RCP8.5 scenario were calculated for O3 and PM2.5, respectively. Future emission change alone under Evaluating the Climate and Air Quality Impacts of Short-Lived Pollutants current legislation (ECLIPSE CLE) scenario induces +7113 and +11072 additional O3 and PM2.5 related mortalities, respectively. Combined change in climate and emission produces additional O3 and PM2.5 related mortalities of +6067 and +7830 under RCP4.5 and ECLIPSE CLE combined scenario and +8763 and +14580 under RCP8.5 and ECLIPSE CLE combined scenario, respectively. The results of this study provided meaningful information for understanding the public health attributed to air pollution in the region.
format	Research article
author	Nguyễn, Trần Hương Giang Nguyen, Thuan Thi Thanh; Shimadera, Hikari; Uranishi, Katsushige; Matsuo, Tomohito; Kondo, Akira;
author_facet	Nguyễn, Trần Hương Giang Nguyen, Thuan Thi Thanh; Shimadera, Hikari; Uranishi, Katsushige; Matsuo, Tomohito; Kondo, Akira;
author_sort	Nguyễn, Trần Hương Giang
title	Estimating Mortality Related to O3 and PM2. 5 under Changing Climate and Emission in Continental Southeast Asia
title_short	Estimating Mortality Related to O3 and PM2. 5 under Changing Climate and Emission in Continental Southeast Asia
title_full	Estimating Mortality Related to O3 and PM2. 5 under Changing Climate and Emission in Continental Southeast Asia
title_fullStr	Estimating Mortality Related to O3 and PM2. 5 under Changing Climate and Emission in Continental Southeast Asia
title_full_unstemmed	Estimating Mortality Related to O3 and PM2. 5 under Changing Climate and Emission in Continental Southeast Asia
title_sort	estimating mortality related to o3 and pm2. 5 under changing climate and emission in continental southeast asia
publishDate	2023
url	https://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/handle/123456789/2037 https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.220105 https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.220105
_version_	1785973026096939008

Estimating Mortality Related to O3 and PM2. 5 under Changing Climate and Emission in Continental Southeast Asia

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