Natural Disasters and Rural Vietnam: Estimations and Forecasts
Using disaster data from the emdat.be website and data for six regions in Vietnam, this paper investigates the impacts of natural disasters on the gross product per capita of the three rural sectors that have been affected the most by disasters―agriculture, fishery, and forestry―over the period 1995...
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University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City
2023
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| Truy cập trực tuyến: | http://jabes.ueh.edu.vn/Home/SearchArticle?article_Id=f38b7a12-4819-4245-a479-a9b0adc24877 http://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/thuvienso/handle/DLU123456789/115527 |
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oai:scholar.dlu.edu.vn:DLU123456789-1155272023-03-08T03:56:47Z Natural Disasters and Rural Vietnam: Estimations and Forecasts Tam, Bang Vu Eric, Iksoon Im Using disaster data from the emdat.be website and data for six regions in Vietnam, this paper investigates the impacts of natural disasters on the gross product per capita of the three rural sectors that have been affected the most by disasters―agriculture, fishery, and forestry―over the period 1995 to 2013. The preliminary tests reveal endogeneity and contemporaneous correlations among these three sectors. Hence, a combination of instrumental variable (IV) estimations and system seemingly unrelated regressions (SSUR) are employed. The results reveal that disasters have different impacts on different sectors of the rural Vietnam with agriculture suffering the heaviest losses, fishery second, and forestry suffers the least. We then analyze the effects of reforestation as a disaster prevention measure and provide forecasts on the forest development in Vietnam. 2023-03-08T03:56:47Z 2023-03-08T03:56:47Z 2015 Article 2615-9112 http://jabes.ueh.edu.vn/Home/SearchArticle?article_Id=f38b7a12-4819-4245-a479-a9b0adc24877 http://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/thuvienso/handle/DLU123456789/115527 10.24311/jabes/2015.22.1.05 en Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies, Volume 22, Issue 1; p. 42-61 application/pdf University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City |
| institution |
Thư viện Trường Đại học Đà Lạt |
| collection |
Thư viện số |
| language |
English |
| description |
Using disaster data from the emdat.be website and data for six regions in Vietnam, this paper investigates the impacts of natural disasters on the gross product per capita of the three rural sectors that have been affected the most by disasters―agriculture, fishery, and forestry―over the period 1995 to 2013. The preliminary tests reveal endogeneity and contemporaneous correlations among these three sectors. Hence, a combination of instrumental variable (IV) estimations and system seemingly unrelated regressions (SSUR) are employed. The results reveal that disasters have different impacts on different sectors of the rural Vietnam with agriculture suffering the heaviest losses, fishery second, and forestry suffers the least. We then analyze the effects of reforestation as a disaster prevention measure and provide forecasts on the forest development in Vietnam. |
| format |
Article |
| author |
Tam, Bang Vu Eric, Iksoon Im |
| spellingShingle |
Tam, Bang Vu Eric, Iksoon Im Natural Disasters and Rural Vietnam: Estimations and Forecasts |
| author_facet |
Tam, Bang Vu Eric, Iksoon Im |
| author_sort |
Tam, Bang Vu |
| title |
Natural Disasters and Rural Vietnam: Estimations and Forecasts |
| title_short |
Natural Disasters and Rural Vietnam: Estimations and Forecasts |
| title_full |
Natural Disasters and Rural Vietnam: Estimations and Forecasts |
| title_fullStr |
Natural Disasters and Rural Vietnam: Estimations and Forecasts |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Natural Disasters and Rural Vietnam: Estimations and Forecasts |
| title_sort |
natural disasters and rural vietnam: estimations and forecasts |
| publisher |
University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City |
| publishDate |
2023 |
| url |
http://jabes.ueh.edu.vn/Home/SearchArticle?article_Id=f38b7a12-4819-4245-a479-a9b0adc24877 http://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/thuvienso/handle/DLU123456789/115527 |
| _version_ |
1765278025863135232 |