Afghanistan in Transition: Looking beyond 2014

The withdrawal of most international troops by 2014 will have a profound and lasting impact on the country's economic and development fabric. This book explores some of these ramifications. Development progress since 2001 has been mixed. The country has recorded some major achievements such as...

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Những tác giả chính: Hogg, Richard, Nassif, Claudia, GomezOsorio, Camilo, Byrd, William
Định dạng: Sách
Ngôn ngữ:English
Được phát hành: World Bank 2015
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Truy cập trực tuyến:https://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/thuvienso/handle/DLU123456789/56393
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spelling oai:scholar.dlu.edu.vn:DLU123456789-563932023-11-11T05:35:52Z Afghanistan in Transition: Looking beyond 2014 Hogg, Richard Nassif, Claudia GomezOsorio, Camilo Byrd, William Transition Fiscal sustainability Economic growth Future The withdrawal of most international troops by 2014 will have a profound and lasting impact on the country's economic and development fabric. This book explores some of these ramifications. Development progress since 2001 has been mixed. The country has recorded some major achievements such as rapid economic growth, relatively low inflation, better public financial management, and gains in basic health and education. Key social indicators, including life expectancy and maternal mortality, have improved markedly, and women are participating more in the economy. Yet in other respects, particularly governance and institution building, the country has fared less well, and many indicators have worsened in recent years. Afghanistan remains one of the world's least developed countries, with a per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of only $528. More than a third of the population live below the poverty line, more than half are vulnerable and at serious risk of falling into poverty, and three-quarters are illiterate. Additionally, political uncertainty and insecurity could undermine Afghanistan's transition and development prospects. The large aid inflows that have benefited Afghanistan have also brought problems. Aid has underpinned much of the progress since 2001-including that in key services, infrastructure, and government administration-but it has also been linked to corruption, poor aid effectiveness, and weakened governance. Aid is estimated to be $15.7 billion-about the same as the size of the GDP in fiscal year 2011. Despite the large volume of aid, most international spending 'on' Afghanistan is not spent 'in' Afghanistan, as it leaves the economy through imports, expatriated profits of contractors, and outward remittances. Other countries' experience shows that the impact of large aid reductions on economic growth may be less than expected. The main issue for the future is how to manage this change, mitigate impacts, and put aid and spending on a more sustainable path. This book is intended for a wide audience interested in the relationship between conflict, aid and development and how international responses to post-conflict state building and reconstruction may both help and hinder a countries transition out of conflict towards a more stable future. 2015-06-15T06:37:08Z 2015-06-15T06:37:08Z 2013 Book 9780821398616 9780821398630 https://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/thuvienso/handle/DLU123456789/56393 en application/pdf World Bank
institution Thư viện Trường Đại học Đà Lạt
collection Thư viện số
language English
topic Transition
Fiscal sustainability
Economic growth
Future
spellingShingle Transition
Fiscal sustainability
Economic growth
Future
Hogg, Richard
Nassif, Claudia
GomezOsorio, Camilo
Byrd, William
Afghanistan in Transition: Looking beyond 2014
description The withdrawal of most international troops by 2014 will have a profound and lasting impact on the country's economic and development fabric. This book explores some of these ramifications. Development progress since 2001 has been mixed. The country has recorded some major achievements such as rapid economic growth, relatively low inflation, better public financial management, and gains in basic health and education. Key social indicators, including life expectancy and maternal mortality, have improved markedly, and women are participating more in the economy. Yet in other respects, particularly governance and institution building, the country has fared less well, and many indicators have worsened in recent years. Afghanistan remains one of the world's least developed countries, with a per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of only $528. More than a third of the population live below the poverty line, more than half are vulnerable and at serious risk of falling into poverty, and three-quarters are illiterate. Additionally, political uncertainty and insecurity could undermine Afghanistan's transition and development prospects. The large aid inflows that have benefited Afghanistan have also brought problems. Aid has underpinned much of the progress since 2001-including that in key services, infrastructure, and government administration-but it has also been linked to corruption, poor aid effectiveness, and weakened governance. Aid is estimated to be $15.7 billion-about the same as the size of the GDP in fiscal year 2011. Despite the large volume of aid, most international spending 'on' Afghanistan is not spent 'in' Afghanistan, as it leaves the economy through imports, expatriated profits of contractors, and outward remittances. Other countries' experience shows that the impact of large aid reductions on economic growth may be less than expected. The main issue for the future is how to manage this change, mitigate impacts, and put aid and spending on a more sustainable path. This book is intended for a wide audience interested in the relationship between conflict, aid and development and how international responses to post-conflict state building and reconstruction may both help and hinder a countries transition out of conflict towards a more stable future.
format Book
author Hogg, Richard
Nassif, Claudia
GomezOsorio, Camilo
Byrd, William
author_facet Hogg, Richard
Nassif, Claudia
GomezOsorio, Camilo
Byrd, William
author_sort Hogg, Richard
title Afghanistan in Transition: Looking beyond 2014
title_short Afghanistan in Transition: Looking beyond 2014
title_full Afghanistan in Transition: Looking beyond 2014
title_fullStr Afghanistan in Transition: Looking beyond 2014
title_full_unstemmed Afghanistan in Transition: Looking beyond 2014
title_sort afghanistan in transition: looking beyond 2014
publisher World Bank
publishDate 2015
url https://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/thuvienso/handle/DLU123456789/56393
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