The Causal Relationship between the S&P 500 and the VIX Index: Critical Analysis of Financial Market Volatility and Its Predictability

Florian Auinger highlights the core weaknesses and sources of criticism regarding the VIX Index as an indicator for the future development of financial market volatility. Furthermore, it is proven that there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500. As...

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Tác giả chính: Auinger, Florian
Định dạng: Sách
Ngôn ngữ:English
Được phát hành: Springer 2015
Những chủ đề:
Truy cập trực tuyến:https://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/thuvienso/handle/DLU123456789/59490
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Miêu tả
Tóm tắt:Florian Auinger highlights the core weaknesses and sources of criticism regarding the VIX Index as an indicator for the future development of financial market volatility. Furthermore, it is proven that there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500. As a consequence, the forecastability is not given in both directions. Obviously, there must be at least one additional variable that has a strong influence on market volatility such as emotions which, according to financial market experts, are considered to play a more and more important role in investment decisions.