Forecasting stock price movement: new evidence from a novel hybrid deep learning model

Purpose This study explores whether a new machine learning method can more accurately predict the movement of stock prices. Design/methodology/approach This study presents a novel hybrid deep learning model, Residual-CNN-Seq2Seq (RC...

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Những tác giả chính: Zhao, Yang, Chen, Zhonglu
Định dạng: Bài viết
Ngôn ngữ:English
Được phát hành: University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City 2023
Truy cập trực tuyến:https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JABES-05-2021-0061/full/html
http://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/thuvienso/handle/DLU123456789/115468
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spelling oai:scholar.dlu.edu.vn:DLU123456789-1154682023-03-08T03:56:19Z Forecasting stock price movement: new evidence from a novel hybrid deep learning model Zhao, Yang Chen, Zhonglu Purpose This study explores whether a new machine learning method can more accurately predict the movement of stock prices. Design/methodology/approach This study presents a novel hybrid deep learning model, Residual-CNN-Seq2Seq (RCSNet), to predict the trend of stock price movement. RCSNet integrates the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, convolutional neural network (CNN) and the sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) long–short-term memory (LSTM) model. Findings The hybrid model is able to forecast both linear and non-linear time-series component of stock dataset. CNN and Seq2Seq LSTMs can be effectively combined for dynamic modeling of short- and long-term-dependent patterns in non-linear time series forecast. Experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms baseline models on S&P 500 index stock dataset from January 2000 to August 2016. Originality/value This study develops the RCSNet hybrid model to tackle the challenge by combining both linear and non-linear models. New evidence has been obtained in predicting the movement of stock market prices. 2023-03-08T03:56:19Z 2023-03-08T03:56:19Z 2022 Article 2515-964X https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JABES-05-2021-0061/full/html http://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/thuvienso/handle/DLU123456789/115468 10.1108/JABES-05-2021-0061 en Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies, Volume 29, Issue 2; p. 91-104 application/pdf University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City
institution Thư viện Trường Đại học Đà Lạt
collection Thư viện số
language English
description Purpose This study explores whether a new machine learning method can more accurately predict the movement of stock prices. Design/methodology/approach This study presents a novel hybrid deep learning model, Residual-CNN-Seq2Seq (RCSNet), to predict the trend of stock price movement. RCSNet integrates the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, convolutional neural network (CNN) and the sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) long–short-term memory (LSTM) model. Findings The hybrid model is able to forecast both linear and non-linear time-series component of stock dataset. CNN and Seq2Seq LSTMs can be effectively combined for dynamic modeling of short- and long-term-dependent patterns in non-linear time series forecast. Experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms baseline models on S&P 500 index stock dataset from January 2000 to August 2016. Originality/value This study develops the RCSNet hybrid model to tackle the challenge by combining both linear and non-linear models. New evidence has been obtained in predicting the movement of stock market prices.
format Article
author Zhao, Yang
Chen, Zhonglu
spellingShingle Zhao, Yang
Chen, Zhonglu
Forecasting stock price movement: new evidence from a novel hybrid deep learning model
author_facet Zhao, Yang
Chen, Zhonglu
author_sort Zhao, Yang
title Forecasting stock price movement: new evidence from a novel hybrid deep learning model
title_short Forecasting stock price movement: new evidence from a novel hybrid deep learning model
title_full Forecasting stock price movement: new evidence from a novel hybrid deep learning model
title_fullStr Forecasting stock price movement: new evidence from a novel hybrid deep learning model
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting stock price movement: new evidence from a novel hybrid deep learning model
title_sort forecasting stock price movement: new evidence from a novel hybrid deep learning model
publisher University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City
publishDate 2023
url https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JABES-05-2021-0061/full/html
http://scholar.dlu.edu.vn/thuvienso/handle/DLU123456789/115468
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